Library

My full reference library is publicly available on Zotero. Below is a collection of some of my favourite papers.

Code

zotero <- "https://api.zotero.org/"
userid <- "users/5456110/"
favourites <- "collections/2KRQXA3T/items/top"
params <- "?format=bib&style=feminist-economics&linkwrap=1&locale=en-GB"

tryCatch({
  bib <- readLines(curl::curl(paste0(zotero, userid, favourites, params)))
  cat(bib)
}, error = function(e) {
  cat("Unable to load favourite papers from Zotero. Please visit my [library](https://www.zotero.org/kathsherratt/library) directly.\n\n")
  cat("Error: ", conditionMessage(e), "\n")
})

Boden, Lisa A., and Iain J. McKendrick. 2017. “Model-Based Policymaking: A Framework to Promote Ethical ‘Good Practice’ in Mathematical Modeling for Public Health Policymaking.” Frontiers in Public Health 5: 68. doi:10.3389/fpubh.2017.00068.

Box, George. 1979. “Robustness in the Strategy of Scientific Model Building.,” January, 201–236. doi:10.1016/B978-0-12-438150-6.50018-2.

Breznau, Nate, Eike Mark Rinke, Alexander Wuttke, Hung H. V. Nguyen, Muna Adem, Jule Adriaans, Amalia Alvarez-Benjumea, et al. 2022. “Observing Many Researchers Using the Same Data and Hypothesis Reveals a Hidden Universe of Uncertainty.” Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences 119 (44): e2203150119. doi:10.1073/pnas.2203150119.

Carlson, Colin J., Eric Dougherty, Mike Boots, Wayne Getz, and Sadie J. Ryan. 2018. “Consensus and Conflict among Ecological Forecasts of Zika Virus Outbreaks in the United States.” Scientific Reports 8 (1): 4921. doi:10.1038/s41598-018-22989-0.

Chalmers, Iain, Larry V. Hedges, and Harris Cooper. 2002. “A Brief History of Research Synthesis.” Evaluation & the Health Professions 25 (1): 12–37. doi:10.1177/0163278702025001003.

Christley, Robert M., Maggie Mort, Brian Wynne, Jonathan M. Wastling, A. Louise Heathwaite, Roger Pickup, Zoë Austin, and Sophia M. Latham. 2013. “‘Wrong, but Useful’: Negotiating Uncertainty in Infectious Disease Modelling.” PLOS ONE 8 (10): e76277. doi:10.1371/journal.pone.0076277.

Coughlan de Perez, Erin, Elisabeth Stephens, Maarten van Aalst, Juan Bazo, Eleonore Fournier-Tombs, Sebastian Funk, Jeremy J. Hess, Nicola Ranger, and Rachel Lowe. 2022. “Epidemiological versus Meteorological Forecasts: Best Practice for Linking Models to Policymaking.” International Journal of Forecasting 38 (2): 521–526. doi:10.1016/j.ijforecast.2021.08.003.

den Boon, Saskia, Mark Jit, Marc Brisson, Graham Medley, Philippe Beutels, Richard White, Stefan Flasche, et al. 2019. “Guidelines for Multi-Model Comparisons of the Impact of Infectious Disease Interventions.” BMC Medicine 17 (1): 163. doi:10.1186/s12916-019-1403-9.

Glasser, John W., Nathaniel Hupert, Mary M. McCauley, and Richard Hatchett. 2011. “Modeling and Public Health Emergency Responses: Lessons from SARS.” Epidemics 3 (1): 32–37. doi:10.1016/j.epidem.2011.01.001.

Gyllingberg, Linnéa, Abeba Birhane, and David J. T. Sumpter. 2023. “The Lost Art of Mathematical Modelling.” Mathematical Biosciences 362 (August): 109033. doi:10.1016/j.mbs.2023.109033.

Hall, Kara, Amanda Vogel, Grace Huang, Katrina Serrano, Elise Rice, Sophia Tsakraklides, and Stephen Fiore. 2018. “The Science of Team Science: A Review of the Empirical Evidence and Research Gaps on Collaboration in Science.” American Psychologist 73 (May): 532–548. doi:10.1037/amp0000319.

Jebeile, Julie, and Anouk Barberousse. 2021. “Model Spread and Progress in Climate Modelling.” European Journal for Philosophy of Science 11 (3): 66. doi:10.1007/s13194-021-00387-0.

Jorm, Anthony. 2025. Expert Consensus in Science. Springer Nature. doi:10.1007/978-981-97-9222-1.

Kuma, Peter, Frida A.-M. Bender, and Aiden R. Jönsson. 2023. “Climate Model Code Genealogy and Its Relation to Climate Feedbacks and Sensitivity.” Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems 15 (7): e2022MS003588. doi:10.1029/2022MS003588.

Lawrence, Michael, Paul Goodwin, Marcus O’Connor, and Dilek Önkal. 2006. “Judgmental Forecasting: A Review of Progress over the Last 25 Years.” International Journal of Forecasting, Twenty five years of forecasting, 22 (3): 493–518. doi:10.1016/j.ijforecast.2006.03.007.

Leach, Melissa, and Ian Scoones. 2013. “The Social and Political Lives of Zoonotic Disease Models: Narratives, Science and Policy.” Social Science & Medicine 88 (July): 10–17. doi:10.1016/j.socscimed.2013.03.017.

Leith, Peat, Marcus Haward, Chris Rees, and Emily Ogier. 2016. “Success and Evolution of a Boundary Organization.” Science, Technology, & Human Values 41 (3): 375–401. doi:10.1177/0162243915601900.

Lipsitch, Marc, Lyn Finelli, Richard T. Heffernan, Gabriel M. Leung, and Stephen C. Redd. 2011. “Improving the Evidence Base for Decision Making During a Pandemic: The Example of 2009 Influenza A/H1N1.” Biosecurity and Bioterrorism : Biodefense Strategy, Practice, and Science 9 (2): 89–115. doi:10.1089/bsp.2011.0007.

Mansley, L. M., A. I. Donaldson, M. V. Thrusfield, and N. Honhold. 2011. “Destructive Tension: Mathematics versus Experience–the Progress and Control of the 2001 Foot and Mouth Disease Epidemic in Great Britain.” Revue Scientifique Et Technique (International Office of Epizootics) 30 (2): 483–498. doi:10.20506/rst.30.2.2054.

Masson, D., and R. Knutti. 2011. “Climate Model Genealogy.” Geophysical Research Letters 38 (8). doi:10.1029/2011GL046864.

McCabe, Ruth, and Christl A. Donnelly. 2021. “Disease Transmission and Control Modelling at the Science–Policy Interface.” Interface Focus 11 (6): 20210013. doi:10.1098/rsfs.2021.0013.

Medley, Graham F. 2022. “A Consensus of Evidence: The Role of SPI-M-O in the UK COVID-19 Response.” Advances in Biological Regulation 86 (December): 100918. doi:10.1016/j.jbior.2022.100918.

Mitchell, Margaret, Simone Wu, Andrew Zaldivar, Parker Barnes, Lucy Vasserman, Ben Hutchinson, Elena Spitzer, Inioluwa Deborah Raji, and Timnit Gebru. 2019. “Model Cards for Model Reporting.” In Proceedings of the Conference on Fairness, Accountability, and Transparency, 220–229. doi:10.1145/3287560.3287596.

Moore, Mackenzie, Hailey Robertson, David Rosado, Ellie Graeden, Colin J. Carlson, and Rebecca Katz. 2024. “Core Components of Infectious Disease Outbreak Response.” SSM - Health Systems 3 (December): 100030. doi:10.1016/j.ssmhs.2024.100030.

Navarro, Danielle J. 2019. “Between the Devil and the Deep Blue Sea: Tensions Between Scientific Judgement and Statistical Model Selection.” Computational Brain & Behavior 2 (1): 28–34. doi:10.1007/s42113-018-0019-z.

Parkhurst, Justin O., and Sudeepa Abeysinghe. 2016. “What Constitutes ‘Good’ Evidence for Public Health and Social Policy-Making? From Hierarchies to Appropriateness.” Social Epistemology 30 (5–6): 665–679. doi:10.1080/02691728.2016.1172365.

Reich, Nicholas G., Trish M. Perl, Derek A. T. Cummings, and Justin Lessler. 2011. “Visualizing Clinical Evidence: Citation Networks for the Incubation Periods of Respiratory Viral Infections.” PLOS ONE 6 (4): e19496. doi:10.1371/journal.pone.0019496.

Schumm, S. A., and R. W. Lichty. 1965. “Time, Space, and Causality in Geomorphology.” American Journal of Science 263 (2): 110–119. doi:10.2475/ajs.263.2.110.

Slauter, Will. 2011. “WRITE UP YOUR DEAD.” Media History 17 (1): 1–15. doi:10.1080/13688804.2011.532371.

Soll, Jack B., and Richard P. Larrick. 2009. “Strategies for Revising Judgment: How (and How Well) People Use Others’ Opinions.” Journal of Experimental Psychology: Learning, Memory, and Cognition 35 (3): 780–805. doi:10.1037/a0015145.

Tariq, Mehreen, Margaret Haworth-Brockman, and Seyed M. Moghadas. 2021. “Ten Years of Pan-InfORM: Modelling Research for Public Health in Canada.” AIMS Public Health 8 (2): 265–274. doi:10.3934/publichealth.2021020.

Thomas, Keith. 2003. Religion and the Decline of Magic. https://www.penguin.co.uk/books/13672/religion-and-the-decline-of-magic-by-keith-thomas/9780140137446.

Tricco, Andrea C., Jennifer Tetzlaff, and David Moher. 2011. “The Art and Science of Knowledge Synthesis.” Journal of Clinical Epidemiology 64 (1): 11–20. doi:10.1016/j.jclinepi.2009.11.007.

Van Kerkhove, Maria D., and Neil M. Ferguson. 2012. “Epidemic and Intervention Modelling–a Scientific Rationale for Policy Decisions? Lessons from the 2009 Influenza Pandemic.” Bulletin of the World Health Organization 90 (4): 306–310. doi:10.2471/BLT.11.097949.

Vegvari, Carolin, Sam Abbott, Frank Ball, Ellen Brooks-Pollock, Robert Challen, Benjamin S Collyer, Ciara Dangerfield, et al. 2022. “Commentary on the Use of the Reproduction Number R during the COVID-19 Pandemic.” Statistical Methods in Medical Research 31 (9): 1675–1685. doi:10.1177/09622802211037079.

Whitty, Christopher J. M. 2015. “What Makes an Academic Paper Useful for Health Policy?” BMC Medicine 13 (December): 301. doi:10.1186/s12916-015-0544-8.